Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 10.815286 12.475257 14.250801 16.285160 18.545306 20.972976 23.771337
2025-05-25 8.562923 10.702239 13.133189 16.079354 19.531581 23.426642 28.130560
2025-06-01 7.057476 9.451680 12.315449 15.950908 20.397578 25.612664 32.140949
2025-06-08 5.832119 8.325495 11.450561 15.584996 20.834746 27.198972 35.409976
2025-06-15 5.077193 7.671574 11.059536 15.704072 21.791055 29.376339 39.408105
2025-06-22 4.392456 7.010929 10.566860 15.606696 22.406991 31.095781 42.845069
2025-06-29 3.920170 6.579497 10.321305 15.784282 23.346499 33.220599 46.829513
2025-07-06 3.525374 6.207787 10.110750 15.968552 24.270054 35.324992 50.824737
2025-07-13 3.264388 6.003981 10.111966 16.430088 25.569872 37.950481 55.566282
2025-07-20 2.996611 5.755913 10.018273 16.731908 26.638138 40.277290 59.956429
2025-07-27 2.688832 5.405519 9.733770 16.719948 27.237679 41.957935 63.494831
2025-08-03 2.286232 4.845411 9.069759 16.079291 26.871842 42.252958 65.103461
2025-08-10 2.009860 4.476012 8.682766 15.841656 27.090013 43.382727 67.918281
2025-08-17 1.747451 4.098088 8.246031 15.488560 27.102849 44.199632 70.294173
2025-08-24 1.544390 3.806172 7.927806 15.299597 27.346569 45.345252 73.154746
2025-08-31 1.337467 3.477722 7.514151 14.918709 27.259605 45.981983 75.275240
2025-09-07 1.221033 3.320437 7.393789 15.022064 27.939418 47.778355 79.130672
2025-09-14 1.091275 3.116246 7.167392 14.923124 28.278661 49.056448 82.237042
2025-09-21 1.006292 3.000271 7.097572 15.092324 29.058665 51.025845 86.416809
2025-09-28 0.929947 2.893665 7.036007 15.269186 29.852247 53.030824 90.688524
2025-10-05 0.887197 2.862034 7.120242 15.714129 31.110193 55.791485 96.166090
2025-10-12 0.832603 2.793540 7.123130 16.005230 32.111134 58.165306 101.094233
2025-10-19 0.755605 2.656267 6.971267 15.993611 32.583829 59.702159 104.754621